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Climate Science, Donna Laframboise, Germany, Hypocrisy, IPCC, Settled science?, These items caught my eye, UK politics

These items caught my eye – 19 April 2013

Each week, I’ll pull together a range of items that have attracted my attention. I hope you will find the variety of topics covered both interesting and enlightening. Please remember to read the comments, as the information (and the links) contained in them often put the main article into context.. If you follow a site that is, maybe, a bit off the beaten track and think it would be of interest, please contact me and I’ll take a look.
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Mining Coal Is Good, But Burning Coal Is Bad? Struggling To Understand The Left

Posted on 18 April, 2013 by papundits
Daniel HannanBy Daniel Hannan

This isn’t another blog about the Iron Lady. There have been quite enough of those already: we have, so to speak, reached Thatcheration point. Rather, it’s an attempt to get to grips with why so many people react with venomous rage to her name. Some of the abuse, of course, is simply the idiotic teenage posturing that you get on Twitter… . But plenty comes from people who, in other contexts, are balanced and considerate.

I have spent three days trying to understand the intensity of their reaction. As far as I can make out, anti-Thatcherites have two main complaints. First, that the Tory leader heartlessly closed coal mines and other heavy industries. Second, that, in increasing the gap between rich and poor, she made Britain more materialistic and selfish.

Let us deal with them in turn. It’s true that the UK, in common with every Western country, was going through a process of deindustrialization in the 1980s. That process had begun at least half a century earlier, and had accelerated through the Sixties and Seventies, when Harold Wilson closed nearly twice as many pits as Margaret Thatcher was to do. Of course, what we mean by ‘closed’ is that the Government discontinued the grants that had kept unprofitable mines in operation. Neither Wilson nor Thatcher prohibited the extraction of coal; they simply stopped obliging everyone else to subsidize it.

Why were the mines and other heavy industries unprofitable? Partly because of lower production costs in developing countries, and partly because of trade union militancy at home.

Click here to read the full article
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Part 2 Thomas Stocker Interview…Lüning: “IPCC Increasingly Unable To Maneuver, Detached From Reality”

Posted on 18, April 2013 by P Gosselin
Part 2 Thomas Stocker Interview…Lüning: “IPCC Increasingly Unable To Maneuver, Detached From Reality”
What follows is the 2nd part of the Weltwoche interview. Yesterday in Part 1 we read:

1. Stocker said the theory claiming global warming causes cold European winters is not robust.
2. Stocker was caught fibbing in claiming that the projections of IPCC models were “extremely good”.
3. Stocker had ignored inconvenient science from his own institute.
4. Stocker appeared unaware that global warming had not risen in 15 years.

Part 2 of the Stocker/Weltwoche interview

In part 2, Stocker contradicts Ben Santer and claims that 17 years are not enough to establish a climate trend, insists that warming is taking place and that the model projections have been “extremely good”. Part 2 reveals how the IPCC science is hanging from a thread. Stocker obstinately maintains there is no CO2 lag behind temperature, claiming that they moved “simultaneously” in the past. Stocker erroneously believes CO2 is the only explanation for the 20th century warming.

Click here to read the full article
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Another paper finds lower climate sensitivity

Posted on 18, April 2013 by WUWT
Yesterday we talked about the new paper from Nic Lewis, now Troy Masters has a new paper in press at Climate Dynamics here.

Observational estimate of climate sensitivity from changes in the rate of ocean heat uptake and comparison to CMIP5 models

Unfortunately, Springerlink wants $39.95 for the privilege of reading it, so all I can do is to provide the abstract. From his blog however, Troy does show figure 5 of the paper:

Click here to read the full article
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A Few Crumbs of Pastry: More Nobel Nonsense

Posted on April 18, 2013 by Donna Laframboise

Donna LaframboiseWhat happens when you slice half a pie into 9,000 pieces? You get a few crumbs of pastry.

The Billings Gazette describes itself as “the largest newspaper in Montana and Northern Wyoming” and “the region’s primary source for news and information.”

Like the Calgary Herald, it has grievously misled its readers this month. In a headline, it falsely described ecology professor Steven Running as a “Nobel laureate.”

This is how the article began:

A Nobel laureate who is a recognized expert in global ecosystem monitoring will make several public presentations in Billings on Thursday and Friday.

If you type Running’s name into a search box over the website of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), only one result is returned. He was one of 22 people who worked on a single chapter in a 44-chapter-report issued by the IPCC back in 2007.

Later that year, the IPCC was awarded half the Nobel Peace Prize. The Peace Prize is not a scientific honour. Unlike a Nobel in chemistry or physics – which gets awarded to individuals in recognition of their scientific excellence – it’s all about symbolism.

Click here to read the full article
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Steinhilber & Beer: Prediction of solar activity for the next 500 years

Posted on April 18, 2013 by tallbloke

A new paper published in the Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Research shows solar activity peaked at the end of the 20th century, but predicts a strong decrease in solar activity until around 2100 AD to low levels similar to the Dalton Minimum.

Prediction of solar activity for the next 500 years

Friedhelm Steinhilber, Jürg Beer

Steinhilber & Beer: Prediction of solar activity for the next 500 yearsAbstract: Recently a new low-noise record of solar activity has been reconstructed for the past 9.400 years by combining two 10 Be records from Greenland and Antarctica with 14 C from tree rings [F. Steinhilber et al., 2012]. This record confirms earlier results, namely that the Sun has varied with distinct periodicities in the past. We present a prediction of mean solar magnetic activity averaged over 22 years for the next 500 years mainly based on the spectral information derived from the record of the past solar activity. Assuming that the Sun will continue varying with the same periodicities for the next centuries we extract the spectral information from the past and apply it in two different methods to predict the future of solar magnetic activity.

Click here to read the full article
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Climate forcing: Missing water must be hiding in the deep ocean

Posted on April 19, 2013 by k2p blog

Climate forcing: Missing water must be hiding in the deep ocean

Fig1: Total precipitative H2O (running 30 day average) compared to Mauna Loa CO2 data in red. The central black curve is a running 365 day average.

Clive Best points out that NASA data shows quite clearly that water vapour in the atmosphere has been decreasing quite significantly especially since about 1998 while carbon dioxide has continued rising. All the wonderful climate models (settled science after all) take it for granted that increased water vapour in the atmosphere is a key forcing caused by increasing carbon dioxode.

I wonder where the water went?

Presumably hiding along with all the missing heat in the deep oceans!

And causing the sea level to increase no doubt.

The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of water in the atmosphere and it is a travesty that we can’t.

Click here to read the full article
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New Discovery: NASA Study Proves Carbon Dioxide Cools Atmosphere

Posted on March 26, 2013 by H. Schreuder & J. O’Sullivan

A recent NASA report throws the space agency into conflict with its climatologists after new NASA measurements prove that carbon dioxide acts as a coolant in Earth’s atmosphere.

NASA’s Langley Research Center has collated data proving that “greenhouse gases” actually block up to 95 percent of harmful solar rays from reaching our planet, thus reducing the heating impact of the sun. The data was collected by Sounding of the Atmosphere using Broadband Emission Radiometry, (or SABER). SABER monitors infrared emissions from Earth’s upper atmosphere, in particular from carbon dioxide (CO2) and nitric oxide (NO), two substances thought to be playing a key role in the energy balance of air above our planet’s surface.

NASA’s Langley Research Center instruments show that the thermosphere not only received a whopping 26 billion kilowatt hours of energy from the sun during a recent burst of solar activity, but that in the upper atmospheric carbon dioxide and nitrous oxide molecules sent as much as 95% of that radiation straight back out into space.

The shock revelation starkly contradicts the core proposition of the so-called greenhouse gas theory which claims that more CO2 means more warming for our planet.

However, this compelling new NASA data disproves that notion and is a huge embarrassment for NASA’s chief climatologist, Dr James Hansen and his team over at NASA’s GISS.

Watch the full NASA video on Youtube.

Click here to read the full article
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Mother Of German Green Weeklies, Die Zeit, Shocks Readers…Now Casts Doubt On Global Warming!

Posted on 19, April 2013 by P Gosselin

After a foray in a cult, one of the first steps on the path back to reality is the process of deprogramming. Could it be that this step is now being self-administered by the German mainstream media? It appears so.

Now that the global mean temperature curve has drifted out of and below the IPCC’s projected range, panic is breaking out.

The mother of German green weeklies, Die Zeit, appears to be taking measurements at the back of the house in preparation for the installation of a back door! Rahmstorf is back there with them, trying to talk them out of it.

Leading lefty journalist Harald Martenstein of Die Zeit, a weekly that recently portrayed Marc Morano as the Don Corleone of the North American climate denial syndicate, has an amusingly satirical essay on the misfortunes of climate science and modeling: On the surprises of climate change. Hat/tip: klimazwiebel. If you can read German, his essay is a jewel in irony and humor to behold. Effective because few things convey a message better than music or humor.

Click here to read the full article
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