The Collapsing Soufflé of Climate Change – Climate Forecast: Muting the Alarm – Does fracking cause earthquakes? – Leaked Sierra Club docs show $150 million to spend on attacking coal – Nate Silver, Roger Pielke, and journalism ethics – Climate Change: Effective Adaptation Versus Costly Curbs – The Dilemma For UK Policy Makers – What is the Planetary Theory about? Why all the Fuss? – The WWF Activist in Charge at the IPCC – IPCC AR5 WG2 Report – draft SPM – Gazprom’s network of useful idiots
The Collapsing Soufflé of Climate Change
Posted on March 27, 2014 by Steven Hayward
The climate campaign is collapsing faster than one of my popover recipes made with old flour and not enough milk. The UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is set to release on Monday the report of Working Group II, on the projected impacts of climate change. (See my Weekly Standard review of Working Group I’s report on the latest science of climate change released last September, “Pay No Attention to the Bad Data.”)
AP environmental stenographer Seth Borenstein tried to get out ahead of the report a few days ago with a piece trumpeting that the dangers from climate change are going to be severe, and that they’re here right now: – Click here to read the full article
Climate Forecast: Muting the Alarm
Posted on March 27, 2014 by Matt Ridley
The United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change will shortly publish the second part of its latest report, on the likely impact of climate change. Government representatives are meeting with scientists in Japan to sex up—sorry, rewrite—a summary of the scientists’ accounts of storms, droughts and diseases to come. But the actual report, known as AR5-WGII, is less frightening than its predecessor seven years ago.
The 2007 report was riddled with errors about Himalayan glaciers, the Amazon rain forest, African agriculture, water shortages and other matters, all of which erred in the direction of alarm. This led to a critical appraisal of the report-writing process from a council of national science academies, some of whose recommendations were simply ignored. – Click here to read the full article
Does fracking cause earthquakes?
Posted on March 19, 2014 by Michael Bastasch
Environmentalists have been stoking fears that hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, is causing earthquakes in California, but the evidence suggests otherwise.
The Los Angeles Times ran a piece on Tuesday titled “Did ‘fracking’ play role in L.A. earthquake? Councilmen want to know.” Los Angeles city council members want answers in the wake of an earthquake that rattled the city on Monday morning.
The liberal news site Mother Jones ran with the headline “Was the Los Angeles Earthquake Caused by Fracking Techniques?” The article notes that seismologists doubt fracking had anything to do with the LA quake, but environmentalists argue that fracking could be a culprit. – Click here to read the full article
Leaked Sierra Club docs show $150 million to spend on attacking coal
Posted on 27 March, 2014 by Jason Hayes
Leaked Sierra Club documents reveal the “green” group’s plans for their massive multi-million dollar “Beyond Coal” campaign. The confidential document shows that the group planned to spend $150 million dollars just attacking coal jobs and forcing energy prices higher. – Click here to read the full article
Nate Silver, Roger Pielke, and journalism ethics
Posted on March 29, 2014 by Luboš Motl
Nate Silver is a statistician who has analyzed baseball and elections. I don’t know him but it seems that some other people do. At any rate, he started a new expensive online news server FiveThirtyEight.com (the number is 538). Some mostly left-wing pundits have criticized the new server and made its childhood a rocky experience.
The first study he happened to publish on that server was one by Dr Roger Pielke Jr, a “climate lukewarmer” [in the middle between skeptics and alarmists] who does research into damages caused by meteorological phenomena: – Click here to read the full article
Climate Change: Effective Adaptation Versus Costly Curbs – The Dilemma For UK Policy Makers
Posted on March 31, 2014 by Leon Clifford
The four horsemen of the apocalypse make an appearance in today’s report from the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
“Increasing magnitudes of warming increase the likelihood of severe, pervasive, and irreversible impacts” warns the report which makes for scary reading, highlighting the risks of food shortages, floods and the extinction of many species as the world warms in response to growing emissions of carbon dioxide.
“Nobody on this planet is going to be untouched by the impacts of climate change,” IPCC chairman Rajendra Pachauri, told the news conference held in Yokohama, Japan, to launch the report, entitled “Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability”.
“We are at the point where there is so much information, so much evidence, that we can no longer plead ignorance,” said Michel Jarraud, secretary general of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
Lead author Professor Christopher Field of Stanford University warned that no matter what we do, we shall face consequences of climate change. – Click here to read the full article
What is the Planetary Theory about? Why all the Fuss?
Posted on March 31, 2014 by Rog Tallbloke
Over the last five years there’s been a revival of an old hypothesis which suggests that the motion of the planets around the Sun modulates its output, and that variation in the Sun’s output affects the Earth’s weather and in the longer term, shifts in regional and global climate. This revival has been most visible here in the blogosphere, where ideas can be kicked around with less professional reputational risk, and a faster exchange and development of concepts and narratives can take place. There has also been a steady trickle of papers published in the scientific literature relevant to the theory, and these have been championed and denigrated by bloggers on both sides of the issue. – Click here to read the full article
The WWF Activist in Charge at the IPCC
Posted on March 30, 2014 by Donna Laframboise
Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, the marine biologist who led the IPCC’s Ocean chapter, is a full-blown environmental activist. He recently wrote a politicized foreword to a WWF brochure, and has a long history of employment with both the WWF and Greenpeace.
In approximately six hours, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) will release a new Summary for Policymakers at a press conference. We’ll be told that that document highlights the key findings of the 30 new chapters that represent the Working Group 2 section of the IPCC’s latest climate assessment.
Richard Tol, who specializes in the economics of climate change, has asked that his name be removed from the Summary. Rather than representing an even-handed analysis, he thinks it emphasizes doom and gloom. Among the individuals whose name will remain is the Australian marine biologist, Ove Hoegh-Guldberg. – Click here to read the full article
IPCC AR5 WG2 Report – draft SPM
Posted on March 30, 2014 by Judith Curry
The WG2 Report will be officially released on Monday. Here is what people are saying about a leaked version of the Summary for Policy Makers.
Donna LaFramboise has made available the latest version of the draft Summary for Policy Makers of the WG2 report that is currently being discussed in Yokohama (note: informed by Twitter that the SPM and full Report have just been approved).
The AR5 WG2 SPM has some startling differences and substantial additions relative to the AR4 version, and is in many ways a much better report. However, the AR4 WG2 Report is a low bar indeed, with the infamous Himalayan glacier error, and the substantial criticisms leveled by the IAC regarding treatment of uncertainty. – Click here to read the full article
Gazprom’s network of useful idiots
Posted on 16 March 2014 by Nick Grealy
Back in the 1930’s Soviet agents set up a network of “useful idiots”, third party organisations that were supported, often unwittingly and almost always unknowingly, with a view of promoting foreign policy aims of the USSR.
Might there be a similar network of the naive who see themselves as genuinely protecting water, wildlife or countryside in any number of European countries, but who are supported by third parties serving the commingled interests of either Gazprom or Russia?
In the 1920’s and 1930’s the German Communist Willi Münzenberg set up a network of mutual aid organisations, many of whose members had no idea whose interests they were serving and would in fact be horrified if they knew.
That was then and today the PR machine is a far more sophisticated. Brenda Shaffer, writing in the respected US academic journal Foreign Affairs notes (behind paywall) on how Russia’s elemental interests in high energy prices is threatened by any number of alternate sources: – Click here to read the full article