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Arctic/Antarctic, Climate Science, CO2 mitigation?, Data Manipulation, General Topics, Hypocrisy, IPCC, Loony Toons, Oceans, Settled science?, These items caught my eye, Windfarms

These items caught my eye – 2 February 2017


Clouds now appear to be the Climate “Hard stop”

If you’re a regular reader of my blog, you will have heard me refer to the climate “Hard stop”. See e.g. “Can variations in lapse rate & cloud cover explain ice-age temperature changes and the inter-glacial “hard stop”?”

To explain this very simply, each time the planet warms from an interglacial, it comes to a stop within a very narrow band of temperatures:

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NorthWest Passage Still Not Open–Someone Call Al Gore And Tell Him

Russian ice breakers escorted cargo ships from Archangel to Pervek on an Arctic Ocean trip beginning on 14 December 2016 and arriving on 7 January 2017. It was thought that the temperature and the condition of the ice were such that they could make the return trip. But they did not get far before they were stopped by very thick ice. They had aerial surveys made of the of the route back to Archangel and concluded that it would not be passable for the cargo ships. The map of the area of the Arctic Ocean where the ship travelled is shown below:
Image courtesy of Siberian Times
Map courtesy of The Siberian Times

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Trump to ‘honour Paris deal withdrawal pledge’

London, 30 January (Argus) — US president Donald Trump will honour his campaign pledge to pull the US out of the Paris climate agreement and defund UN climate programmes, a former adviser to the new administration has said.

Myron Ebell served as head of the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) transition team from early September until 19 January, when he helped to draft an advisory action plan on how to implement Trump’s campaign promises.

At a press briefing held by the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) and the Foreign Press Association (FPA) in London today, Ebell declined to divulge any details of the EPA document on the grounds that it is confidential.

But Ebell, a well-known climate change sceptic and head of the Competitive Enterprise Institute’s (CEI) energy and environment centre, outlined Trump’s “very clear” promises on energy and the environment that he is convinced the new president will honour.

Apart from withdrawing from the UN climate deal, Trump will also potentially repeal all of the previous administration’s EPA rules on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions including the clean power plan and the climate action plan.

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Dig and Delve Part III: Temperate Regions

In this post I draw together ideas developed in previous posts- Poles Apart, Pause Updates, Dig and Delve Parts I and II– in which I lamented the lack of tropospheric data for the regions of the northern and southern hemispheres from 20 to 60 degrees North and South. These regions between the Tropics and Polar regions I shall call Temperate regions, as that’s what I was taught in school.

A commenter of long standing, MikeR, who has always endeavoured to keep me on the straight and narrow, suggested a method of estimating temperature data for these regions using existing Polar and Extra-Tropical data. I’ve finally got around to checking, and can now present the results.

The correct formula is:

T (20 to 60 degrees) = 1.256 x TexT ( 20 to 90 degrees) – 0.256 X T pole(60 to 90 degrees).

This gives an approximation for these regions in lieu of UAH data specifically for them.

And the results are very, very interesting. Hello again, Pause.

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Australia’s Energy Debacle: Politicians Fiddle While Rome Burns

“Tony Abbott has once again proved himself to be a superb leader when not actually in government by counselling the undeniable benefits of getting rid of the renewable subsidies that cost us $4 billion a year and wreck the competitiveness of the electricity supply while also undermining its reliability.

“Fortunately for Australia Trump will force us to mend our ways – his pull-out of the Paris climate change agreement undermines it and gives us an excuse to rescind the harmful energy policies we have in place. And his low tax, reduced spending, regulation cutting agenda will also force us to follow suit or plumb the depths of economic decline that other countries have experienced by focussing on anti-market policies.”

Donald J. Trump – forcibly making Australia great again…if its feckless, vapid and virtue-signalling ‘leader’, Malcolm Turnbull, will take the smart road and follow a real leader…

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Atlantic Hurricane Numbers Decreasing Despite Increases In Atmospheric CO2

Study of historical hurricane occurrences in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea, during the period 1749 to 2012, reveals that “the hurricane number is actually decreasing in time.”
Paper Reviewed

Rojo-Garibaldi, B., Salas-de-León, D.A., Sánchez, N.L. and Monreal-Gómez, M.A. 2016. Hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea and their relationship with sunspots. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics 148: 48-52.

Although some climate alarmists contend that CO2-induced global warming will increase the number of hurricanes in the future, the search for such effect on Atlantic Ocean tropical cyclone frequency has so far remained elusive. And with the recent publication of Rojo-Garibaldi et al. (2016), it looks like climate alarmists will have to keep on looking, or accept the likelihood that something other than CO2 is at the helm in moderating Atlantic hurricane frequency.

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weather happening …

This is starting to look ominous. Record snowfalls across the Northern Hemisphere. So much for all that CO2 caused warming. The global warming scam is all but over! Delingpole can tell it like it is, at a UK press conference.

[…]They hated it. (Especially the bit where Ebell told them that Trump would definitely be pulling the U.S. out of the Paris climate treaty) They couldn’t believe what they were hearing. They curled their lips. They laced their questions with the bitterest scorn. But they didn’t really tune into Ebell’s measured, silken, soft-spoken answers because, hell, they knew what he was saying just had to be wrong and they didn’t really understand what he meant anyway.

The reporter who set the tone – and if nothing else, you’ve got to admire his honesty – was the one from Channel 4 News who told Ebell: “It will occur to you that this room is full of people like myself who consider that nothing you say has any basis in fact. So what you’ve been telling us is essentially meaningless.”

The next mini-ice-age is looking a bit ominous, so it’s a double-whammy for the true believers. Those same journalists should be asked why they haven’t a condo in Siberia yet. Ice Age Now, compiles this:

– Click here to read the full article

Renewable Energy Uses 100X Manpower Compared to Fossil Fuels

The International Renewable Energy Agency of the US Bureau of Statistics provided employment data for three categories–Solar; Oil and Gas Extraction; and Coal Mining. Bloomberg drew a chart of employment over the period of 2012 to 2015. That chart is shown below:

Stanislav Jakuba looked at the employment in each of these three endeavours to compare electricity production versus manpower in his posting “Renewable Energy: High Jobs, Little Power (inefficiency personified”. He offered this analysis:

– Click here to read the full article

Extreme Daily Rainfall In England & Wales

Climate scientists frequently claim that global warming has led to more extreme rainfall, and will continue to do so.

But what does the England & Wales Precipitation series tell us about extreme daily rainfall?

Although the series dates back to 1766, we unfortunately only have daily data from 1931. Nevertheless if we plot the days when rainfall was 20mm or more, we get:

– Click here to read the full article

Brexit and climate change policy

Guest post by Professor David Campbell, Lancaster University Law School. (First published in The Reporter: The Newsletter of the Society of Legal Scholars, Winter 2016.)

An intriguing light is thrown on the implications of Brexit for domestic and transnational policy formulation by research into the way in which the 2°C target, now ‘adopted’ in Art 2 of the Paris Agreement, has come to be the cornerstone of international climate change policy.

The source of the 2°C target is the Assessment Reports (ARs) produced by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), but only in a most indirect way. The ARs have identified 2°C as one of a range of possible ‘stabilisation’ targets ultimately drawn from a huge number of ‘emissions scenarios’. However, the IPCC has never attempted to defend the selection of the 2°C target from amongst all these alternatives. The 1995 Second AR insisted that ‘These examples do not represent any form of recommendation about how such stabilisation levels might be achieved or the level of stabilisation which might be chosen’, and this has been the position ever since. There may be consensus over climate change, but unfortunately the IPCC has never been able to tell us what it is.

– Click here to read the full article


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